Feed Planet 86 - May 2026

74 ARTICLE • MAKALE en önemli örneği, genel ulusal yasaklar yerine hastalıktan ari bölgelerin tanınma- sını getiren Kanada–Filipinler Bölgeleme Anlaşması’dır. Bu model, belirli bölgeler biyolojik tehditlerle karşılaşsa bile küresel protein ticaretinin devam etmesini sağla- yarak milyarlarca dolarlık ihracat akışını topyekün durma riskinden koruyor. Dayanıklılığa yönelik bu değişim, sektö- rün “tam zamanında” lojistiğinden uzaklaş- tığı küresel tedarik zincirlerinde de görülü- yor. Özellikle Orta Doğu ve Kızıldeniz’deki jeopolitik gerilimler, değirmencileri “her ihtimale karşı” yaklaşımını benimsemeye zorladı. Bu durum, stoksuz kalma riskine ve artan navlun maliyetlerine karşı daha yüksek tampon stoklar tutulmasını gerek- tiriyor. İhracat bağımlılığının yüksek olduğu Latin Amerika gibi bölgelerde, parçalan- mış ticaret yollarını yönetebilme yetene- ği pazar payını korumanın ön şartı haline geldi. Ayrıca 2026’da sürdürülebilirlik, gönüllü bir girişim olmaktan çıkıp zorunlu bir yasal gerekliliğe dönüşüyor; AB’deki Kurumsal Sürdürülebilirlik Raporlama Di- rektifi gibi çerçeveler, şirketleri tüm tedarik zinciri boyunca “Kapsam 3” emisyonlarını raporlamaya zorluyor. AKUAKÜLTÜR VE EVCİL HAYVAN YEMİNDE STANDART ÜRETİM GERİDE KALIYOR Geleneksel hayvancılık sektörleri ya- pısal değişikliklerle uğraşırken, akuakül- tür ve evcil hayvan yemi kategorileri en- düstrinin en istikrarlı büyüme sinyallerini verdi. Küresel su ürünleri yemi üretimi %4,7 artarak 55,470 milyon mt’a ulaştı. Bu genişleme, deniz ürünlerine olan küresel talep artışı ve Güneydoğu Asya ile Latin Amerika’daki daha yoğun, formüle edilmiş besleme programlarına geçişle tetiklendi. Akdeniz’de levrek ve çipura konusunda kendisini bir güç merkezi olarak konum- landıran Türkiye için bu küresel trend, yüksek performanslı ekstrüzyon tekno- lojilerinin ve fonksiyonel yem katkılarının stratejik önemini pekiştiriyor. Evcil hayvan yemi sektörü de yükse- liş ivmesini koruyarak %2,4 büyüme ile 39,276 milyon mt’a ulaştı. Pandemi son- rası yaşanan “evcil hayvan patlaması” sta- FEED PLANET • MAY - MAYIS 2026 75 ARTICLE • MAKALE 39.276 million mt. Although the post-pandemic “pet boom” has stabilized, the market is now defined by premiumization. Owners are increasingly seeking specialized nutrition that mirrors human health trends, such as gut health support and sustainably sourced proteins. This shift toward high-margin, technical formulations offers a significant opportunity for mil- lers to diversify their portfolios and protect themselves against the more volatile cycles of the commodity livestock markets. DATA BECOMES AS VITAL AS RAW MATERIAL IN NEW PRECISION NUTRITION ERA As the industry moves into 2026, success is increasingly de- fined by the ability to manage risk in an environment of high volatility. Survey data reveals that 25 percent of industry partici- pants view inflation and economic instability as the primary dis- ruptors for the coming year. In this landscape, the era of predic- table growth has ended. Achieving profitability now depends on formulation flexibility and operational efficiency rather than simple volume expansion. Innovation and technology are no longer optional tools but essential re- quirements for resilience. Data has become the sector’s most valuable non-biological asset, providing the actionable insights needed to iden- tify hidden inefficiencies and pre- dict market shifts. Many producers are already utilizing artificial intelli- gence to defend their herds against biological threats and to optimize animal performance in real time. This digital trans- formation allows for a level of precision that can offset rising energy and freight costs. Looking forward, the global agri-food industry is positi- oned for selective growth. The transition from producing more to building stronger, more resilient supply chains will allow the sector to withstand unpredictable geopolitics and biological challenges. For forward-looking businesses, par- ticularly those in strategic hubs like Türkiye, the current vo- latility presents a structural opportunity. By embracing risk management and digital transparency, the industry can en- sure a steady supply of protein while maintaining economic viability in a changing world. bilize olsa da, pazar artık “premiumlaşma” ile tanımlanıyor. Hayvan sahipleri giderek artan bir oranda bağırsak sağlı- ğı desteği ve sürdürülebilir kaynaklı proteinler gibi insan sağlığı trendlerini yansıtan özel beslenme çözümleri arıyor. Yüksek marjlı ve teknik formülasyonlara yönelik bu kayış, değirmenciler için portföylerini çeşitlendirme ve kendilerini emtia hayvancılık pazarlarının daha değişken döngülerine karşı koruma konusunda önemli bir fırsat sunuyor. VERİ ARTIK HAMMADDE KADAR HAYATİ BİR VARLIK 2026 yılına girerken başarı, yüksek volatilite ortamında riski yönetme yeteneğiyle giderek daha fazla tanımlanıyor. Anket verileri, sektör katılımcılarının yüzde 25’inin enflasyo- nu ve ekonomik istikrarsızlığı gelecek yılın birincil bozucu unsuru olarak gördüğünü ortaya koyuyor. Bu tabloda, ön- görülebilir büyüme dönemi sona ermiştir. Kârlılığa ulaşmak artık sadece hacim artışına değil, formülasyon esnekliğine ve operasyonel verimliliğe bağlıdır. İnovasyon ve teknoloji artık isteğe bağ- lı araçlar değil, dayanıklılık için temel gereklilikler hâline geldi. Veri, gizli verimsizlikleri belirlemek ve pazar değişimlerini tahmin etmek için ge- reken uygulanabilir analizleri sağla- yarak sektörün en değerli biyolojik olmayan varlığı hâline geldi. Birçok üretici, sürülerini biyolojik tehditlere karşı savunmak ve hayvan perfor- mansını gerçek zamanlı olarak optimi- ze etmek için yapay zekâyı hâlihazırda kullanıyor. Bu dijital dönüşüm, artan enerji ve navlun maliyetlerini dengeleyebilecek bir hassasiyet düzeyi sunuyor. Geleceğe bakıldığında, küresel tarım-gıda endüstrisi se- çici bir büyüme için konumlanmış durumda. Sadece daha fazla üretmekten daha güçlü ve dirençli tedarik zincirleri kurmaya geçiş, sektörün öngörülemeyen jeopolitik ve bi- yolojik zorluklara dayanmasını sağlayacaktır. Özellikle Tür- kiye gibi stratejik merkezlerdeki ileri görüşlü işletmeler için mevcut dalgalanma yapısal bir fırsat sunuyor. Risk yöneti- mini ve dijital şeffaflığı benimseyerek sektör, değişen dün- yada ekonomik canlılığını korurken istikrarlı bir protein arzı sağlamaya devam edebilir. Agri-Food Outlook | 2026 Latin America: Latin America was one of the fastest- growing regions for aquafeed in 2025, increasing by 11.4% (+0.780 million mt) to 7.641 million mt. Ecuador led the recovery, with its shrimp production rebounding approximately 15%. Chile saw its salmon output rise roughly 8%, supporting feed demand. Brazil contributed through tilapia expansion and growing domestic commercialization. Input-cost volatility — particularly fishmeal pricing and availability — remains the key watchpoint into 2026. Pets After multiple years of strong expansion, global pet food tonnage moderated in 2025, rising 2.4% (+0.917 million mt) to 39.276 million mt. This slowdown was primarily linked to normalization in North America following pandemic-driven expansion, alongside demographic shifts in pet ownership. In several markets, currency dynamics and premiumization trends reshaped domestic production patterns. Region 2025 (million mt) 2024 rev. (million mt) Growth (million mt) Growth (%) Africa 1.477 1.322 0.155 11.7% Asia 4.410 4.177 0.232 5.6% Europe 13.083 12.636 0.447 3.5% Latin America 8.218 8.101 0.118 1.5% Middle East 0.107 0.107 0.000 0.1% North America 11.371 11.437 (0.066) -0.6% Oceania 0.610 0.580 0.030 5.2% Grand Total 39.276 38.359 0.917 2.4% Pet feed production Asia: Asia’s pet feed production expanded by 5.6% (+0.232 million mt) in 2025, outperforming the global average. China remains the dominant growth engine, driven by a surge in premiumization. Pet humanization, expanding dog and cat populations, and resilient premium demand continue to drive structural growth despite broader macroeconomic softness. In emerging markets, such as the Philippines and India, a rising middle class is shifting from informal feeding habits (e.g., giving pets A closer look Africa and the Middle East: Africa recorded the strongest percentage growth globally for pet feed tonnage, at 11.7% (+0.155 million mt). South Africa was the standout market in the region. Stronger economic conditions, accelerating urbanization and rising companion-animal ownership supported rapid pet food expansion in Africa. Commercial feeding continues to gain market share versus informal or home-prepared alternatives. In the Middle East, pet feed tonnage remained essentially flat in 2025 (+0.1%). North America: North America’s aquafeed tonnage declined by 2.1% (−0.027 million mt). In Canada, demand for aquaculture feed remains relatively stable, supported by consistent domestic and export markets. However, that growth is incremental rather than aggressive. The sector plays a smaller but strategically important role in diversification within the broader regional feed industry. Oceania: Oceania grew 6.4% (+0.015 million mt), though from a small base. While absolute tonnage gains are modest, the sector continues to build in scale and export orientation. Table 7: Pet Feed Production Tablo 7: Evcil Hayva Yemi Üretimi Agri-Food Outlook | 2026 Feed Production Increased in 2025; Industry Shows Strength in a Volatile Year M st regions and sectors experienced growth, meeting constant pressure with resilience Global trends affecting feed production in 2025 Global feed production reached 1.44 billion metric tons (mt) in 2025, for a 2.9% year-on-year increase. On the surface, the numbers suggest a strong recovery phase for animal agriculture. Beneath th headline, however, the d ta tells a more uance story: Growth was uneven, increasingly regio alized and driv n less by herd expansion than by structural change, productivity gains and shifts in how production is measured and recorded. Now in its 15th year, Alltech’s annual feed survey draws on data from 142 countries and 38,837 feed mills. By analyzing compound feed production and prices — collected by Alltec ’s global sales team and in partne ship with f ed as ociations and offi ial data-collecting organizati ns — the surv y provides comprehensive snapshot of global feed production. These insights serve as a barometer for the overall livestock industry, highlighting key trends across species, regional challenges and opportunities for growth. Much of the 2025 increase in feed tonnage reflected modernization rather than simple demand expansion — such as China’s continued transition from on-farm mixing to industrial feed systems, improved animal performance and greater efficiency across poult y and aquaculture production. Excluding these structural shifts, the underlying global growth is still real, but it may be more moderate than the figures suggest. The defining characteristic of 2025 was, therefore, not volume alone, but resilience under pressure. Producers navigated persistent animal disease risks, volatile input markets, supply-chain challenges, climate disruptions and tightening sustainability expectations while still delivering net growth across most species sectors. Poultry and aquaculture e rged as the primary engines of expansion, whi e the ruminant sectors reflected cattle cycl s and constr ined herd r building. In 2025, global agriculture demonstrated that it still has the capacity for growth — but that growth now dep nds on adaptabi ity, efficiency and risk management as much as it does on demand itself. Thes dynamics form the foundation for the industry’s outlook heading into 2026, where success will increasingly be defined not by producing more, but by producing profitable, resilient volume. Severe weather Disease management and recovery Global politics and macroeconomics Changing consumer preferences High production costs and low returns growth rates at 4.1%, reaching 16.206 million mt. This growth was driven by the expanded use of strategic supplementation and feedlot finishing, reflecting both improved production economics and forage variability. Brazil led the region, growing 7.1% to 7.730 million mt. Improved feedlot margins encouraged higher placements and longer finishing periods. Structural shifts toward supplementation as pasture volatility persists across the Southern Cone and Chile supported Oceania: Oceania posted strong growth of 5.9%, led by Australia. Australia experienced record beef production (+11%), with higher slaughter numbers and heavier carcass weights. Feed demand was supported by record feedlot capacity utilization, strong export demand (particularly to the U.S. and Asia), a structural shift toward grain-fed beef, and seasonal conditions that increased reliance on finishing rations. New Zealand recorded moderate growth as elevated global prices encouraged greater calf retention and finishing activity. Region 2025 (million mt) 2024 rev. (million mt) Growth (million mt) Growth (%) Africa 7.662 7.071 0.591 8.4% Asia 19.802 19.755 0.047 0.2% Europe 17.336 17.016 0.320 1.9% Latin America 16.206 15.575 0.631 4.1% Middle East 2.020 2.049 (0.029) -1.4% North America 70.308 71.312 (1.004) -1.4% Oceania 0.847 0.800 0.047 5.9% Grand Total 134.181 133.578 0.603 0.5% Beef feed production Agri-Food Outlook | 2026 are contracting there amid labor shortages, environmental limits and high operating costs. In China, the continued growth of the nation’s aquaculture output underpins its feed capacity expansion. Structural modernization and scale consolidation continue to support feed demand, but environmental constraints remain a balancing factor. Aquaculture After several relatively flat years, global aquaculture feed rebounded strongly in 2025, rising 4.7% (+2.470 million mt) to 55.470 million mt. Growth was broad-based but uneven, led by recovery in the shrimp and salmon markets and acceleration in the commercialization of inland aquaculture systems. This momentum is expected to temper in 2026 as supply-demand balances normalize, broadening beyond environmental metrics to include long-term economic viability. A closer look Africa and the Middle East: Africa was the fastest- growing region for aquaculture feed in terms of percentage, expanding by 27.5% (+0.466 million mt). Egypt r mains the continent’s anchor aquaculture market, with aquafeed tonnage up approximately 36%. Despite ongoing water competition challenges, intensification and commercial feed penetration continue to drive structural growth. The Middle East grew modestly, at 2.2% (+0.022 million mt), reflecting gradual expansion rather than breakout success. Iran was a bright spot, supported by a strong seafood export performance (exceeding $600 million), which stimulated feed demand. Asia: Asia, the world’s largest aquafeed region, grew by 2.4% (+0.894 million mt). The region remains structurally vital for global aquaculture, accounting for roughly three- quarters of projected global aquatic food-consumption growth. India is a core growth engine, with its feed tonnage rising approximately 5.5%, to 2.890 million mt, due to commercialization and inland aquaculture. Japan represents the mature-market contrast: Aquafeed volumes R gion 2025 (million mt) 2024 rev. ( illion mt) Growth (million mt) Growth (%) Africa 2.162 1.696 0.466 27.5% Asia 38.017 37.123 0.894 2.4% Europe 5.081 4.761 0.320 6.7% Latin America 7.641 6.861 0.780 11.4% Middle East 1.039 1.016 0.022 2.2% North America 1.281 1.309 (0.027) -2.1% Oceania 0.250 0.235 0.015 6.4% Grand Total 55.470 53.000 2.470 4.7% Aquaculture feed production Asia, the world’s largest aquafeed region, grew by 2.4 % Europe: European aquafeed tonnage expanded 6.7% (+0.320 million mt), reflecting selective rather than uniform growth. Norway recorded the largest absolute gains in aquaculture feed (+168,000 mt), supported by strong salmon production. Nordic and select Eastern European markets continue gaining strategic importance within the region. Table 5: Beef Feed Production Tablo 5: Besi Yemi Üretimi Table 6: Aquaculture Feed Production Tablo 6: Akuakültü Yemi Üretimi